Evaluation of the diference between 15-20-30 mn matches
Posted: Fri Jun 02, 2006 6:22 am
Not being a very good coder my self, I never the less finaly got courious
about what are the REAL effects of changing match times. I am sure those
of us who try to be scientists, or more generally those of use who are
courious about our world, would be vaguely interested in this.
Questions:
Do the teams that win at 15 minutes still win at 30 min?
corollary:
Do match results change over (ie if red is winning at the 15 min mark, does
that team still win the match) statisticly often?
What is the change in ratio between the cap scores of the two teams between
the 15, 20 and final time period?
Do the raw magnitudes of each team's scores increase dramatically between
the 15, 20 and 30 minute marks?
What is the rate of change in each team's score in the first 15 minutes of
play, vs the last 15 minutes of play? Also, depending on which team is
winning at the 15 minute mark, how does that effect the activity in
captures in the last 15 minutes?
Also, to be complete, what would a statisticly meaningfull number of match samples be.
Method
Again, I am not a coder, but I would imagine some of these things
following are feasible.
Sampling the cap score every 1 minute, mark only which team has what
score (actual team names are irrevelent). A plugin maybe, added to proxs
dub 59998 and dub 59999 should cover almost all the bases in ducati (as
I am only interested in dealing with ducati at the moment).
After a good statistical number of matches have been recorded, the
analysis would be fairly trivial. I would of course volunteer to do the
analysis, with public posting of data, methods and results as well.
Needs
A plugin would of course need to be built, and implimented in the 3 servers
mentioned above (proxs, dub 59998 and dub 59999). After that, it will
be a waiting game untill enough matches are recorded. Either a nightly
cron job mailing the data to me (or whom ever does the collection) or such
also would be needed.
Any one interested in working with me directly on this (yes I am coping
out and asking for free coders here), please just pm me here (I will get
it in my email) and we can work out a collaboration.
OF COURSE, helpfull suggetions, technical and psychological (yes, I am
also ignoring most psycological effects here), will be needed.
about what are the REAL effects of changing match times. I am sure those
of us who try to be scientists, or more generally those of use who are
courious about our world, would be vaguely interested in this.
Questions:
Do the teams that win at 15 minutes still win at 30 min?
corollary:
Do match results change over (ie if red is winning at the 15 min mark, does
that team still win the match) statisticly often?
What is the change in ratio between the cap scores of the two teams between
the 15, 20 and final time period?
Do the raw magnitudes of each team's scores increase dramatically between
the 15, 20 and 30 minute marks?
What is the rate of change in each team's score in the first 15 minutes of
play, vs the last 15 minutes of play? Also, depending on which team is
winning at the 15 minute mark, how does that effect the activity in
captures in the last 15 minutes?
Also, to be complete, what would a statisticly meaningfull number of match samples be.
Method
Again, I am not a coder, but I would imagine some of these things
following are feasible.
Sampling the cap score every 1 minute, mark only which team has what
score (actual team names are irrevelent). A plugin maybe, added to proxs
dub 59998 and dub 59999 should cover almost all the bases in ducati (as
I am only interested in dealing with ducati at the moment).
After a good statistical number of matches have been recorded, the
analysis would be fairly trivial. I would of course volunteer to do the
analysis, with public posting of data, methods and results as well.
Needs
A plugin would of course need to be built, and implimented in the 3 servers
mentioned above (proxs, dub 59998 and dub 59999). After that, it will
be a waiting game untill enough matches are recorded. Either a nightly
cron job mailing the data to me (or whom ever does the collection) or such
also would be needed.
Any one interested in working with me directly on this (yes I am coping
out and asking for free coders here), please just pm me here (I will get
it in my email) and we can work out a collaboration.
OF COURSE, helpfull suggetions, technical and psychological (yes, I am
also ignoring most psycological effects here), will be needed.